All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Early Bird (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
XC Town Twilight |
HSE JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/23 |
8/30 |
9/13 |
9/20 |
9/27 |
10/3 |
10/4 |
10/6 |
10/18 |
10/25 |
11/1 |
| Team Rating |
196 | |
234 |
207 |
247 |
169 |
176 |
935 |
203 |
534 |
224 |
243 |
220 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
192 |
207 |
175 |
169 |
176 |
935 |
203 |
196 |
224 |
243 |
219 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Early Bird (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
XC Town Twilight |
HSE JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 7 |
Liam Powers |
12 |
15:29 |
15:35 |
16:02 |
15:30 |
|
15:28 |
15:30 |
15:17 |
15:17 |
|
15:27 |
16:10 |
15:23 |
| 31 |
Isaac Smith |
11 |
16:03 |
15:54 |
15:46 |
16:08 |
15:54 |
15:59 |
15:57 |
17:28 |
17:28 |
|
16:07 |
17:24 |
16:24 |
| 94 |
Monroe Cluff |
12 |
16:29 |
17:31 |
|
16:42 |
16:23 |
16:26 |
16:22 |
17:00 |
17:00 |
|
16:34 |
16:28 |
16:26 |
| 132 |
Charlie Ritter |
11 |
16:40 |
17:30 |
16:29 |
16:35 |
16:26 |
16:35 |
16:38 |
16:38 |
16:38 |
|
16:50 |
16:47 |
16:45 |
| 168 |
Hayden Hoback |
11 |
16:46 |
17:25 |
16:46 |
16:42 |
16:48 |
16:30 |
16:37 |
16:28 |
16:28 |
|
17:31 |
17:06 |
|
| 215 |
Pj Key |
10 |
16:55 |
17:27 |
17:16 |
16:47 |
16:59 |
16:51 |
16:45 |
17:00 |
17:00 |
|
|
18:00 |
16:48 |
| 280 |
William Henning |
12 |
17:08 |
17:03 |
|
17:14 |
|
17:04 |
16:58 |
17:12 |
17:12 |
|
16:54 |
17:04 |
17:31 |
| 375 |
Aiden Brier |
10 |
17:22 |
18:01 |
17:15 |
17:29 |
17:06 |
17:11 |
17:14 |
17:31 |
17:31 |
17:14 |
18:01 |
|
|
| 376 |
Max Kleinbub |
10 |
17:22 |
17:45 |
17:18 |
17:11 |
17:09 |
17:51 |
17:12 |
17:33 |
17:33 |
17:26 |
|
|
|
| 407 |
MacKey Pope |
10 |
17:26 |
17:58 |
17:29 |
17:22 |
17:15 |
|
17:22 |
17:40 |
17:40 |
17:27 |
|
|
|
| 442 |
Andrew Butler |
11 |
17:30 |
|
|
17:23 |
17:26 |
17:23 |
18:15 |
17:19 |
17:19 |
17:34 |
|
|
|
| 473 |
Omar Elsayed |
12 |
17:33 |
|
|
17:52 |
17:20 |
17:48 |
17:38 |
17:24 |
17:24 |
17:21 |
|
|
|
| 486 |
Cameron Conn |
10 |
17:34 |
17:58 |
17:40 |
17:29 |
17:27 |
|
17:44 |
17:39 |
17:39 |
17:23 |
|
|
|
| 541 |
Trewman Francis |
10 |
17:41 |
19:09 |
17:26 |
17:27 |
17:13 |
17:25 |
18:10 |
17:51 |
17:51 |
18:01 |
|
|
|
| 584 |
Nate Randolph |
10 |
17:45 |
18:34 |
|
17:59 |
18:01 |
17:35 |
17:40 |
17:55 |
17:55 |
17:20 |
|
|
|
| 774 |
Drew Cole |
10 |
18:02 |
18:34 |
17:08 |
18:11 |
17:54 |
18:12 |
18:04 |
18:03 |
18:03 |
|
|
|
|
| 859 |
Ryder Lambertus |
9 |
18:10 |
|
17:55 |
18:05 |
18:26 |
17:54 |
18:12 |
18:21 |
18:21 |
18:07 |
|
|
|
| 890 |
Derek Unzueta |
10 |
18:13 |
|
17:53 |
17:41 |
17:58 |
18:08 |
18:18 |
19:04 |
19:04 |
18:21 |
|
|
|
| 892 |
Joshua Montgomery |
12 |
18:13 |
17:55 |
17:28 |
18:03 |
19:07 |
18:13 |
17:51 |
19:02 |
19:02 |
18:10 |
|
|
|
| 895 |
Liam McNiven |
12 |
18:13 |
18:10 |
18:07 |
18:29 |
18:05 |
18:52 |
17:55 |
18:07 |
18:07 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,049 |
Noah Haviza |
9 |
18:25 |
|
18:22 |
18:42 |
18:26 |
18:24 |
18:21 |
18:36 |
18:36 |
18:09 |
|
|
|
| 1,104 |
Sam Elliott |
12 |
18:30 |
17:18 |
18:38 |
18:39 |
18:22 |
18:46 |
18:28 |
18:29 |
18:29 |
18:13 |
|
|
|
| 1,191 |
Weston Kopeck |
10 |
18:38 |
18:35 |
18:24 |
18:30 |
18:49 |
18:29 |
18:40 |
18:51 |
18:51 |
18:33 |
|
|
|
| 1,214 |
Isaac Sponsel |
10 |
18:39 |
|
18:34 |
18:33 |
18:47 |
18:25 |
18:44 |
18:27 |
18:27 |
18:53 |
|
|
|
| 1,218 |
Justin Bove |
11 |
18:40 |
18:51 |
18:23 |
18:12 |
18:30 |
18:51 |
18:36 |
18:44 |
18:44 |
19:05 |
|
|
|
| 1,244 |
Drew McNiven |
10 |
18:42 |
18:05 |
18:22 |
18:04 |
19:09 |
19:08 |
18:54 |
18:21 |
18:21 |
18:40 |
|
|
|
| 1,248 |
Jackson Mason |
10 |
18:42 |
|
18:41 |
18:07 |
18:28 |
19:18 |
18:35 |
19:06 |
19:06 |
18:39 |
|
|
|
| 1,433 |
Drew Kaplan |
11 |
18:58 |
|
18:54 |
18:54 |
18:57 |
19:07 |
18:55 |
19:14 |
19:14 |
18:41 |
|
|
|
|
Noah Millis |
11 |
19:00 |
|
19:31 |
19:11 |
|
18:54 |
18:44 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jake Perez |
9 |
19:10 |
|
18:10 |
18:21 |
19:00 |
19:21 |
19:01 |
19:43 |
19:43 |
19:42 |
|
|
|
|
Connor Pugh |
12 |
19:25 |
18:47 |
|
18:47 |
19:23 |
19:07 |
19:30 |
19:22 |
19:22 |
19:53 |
|
|
|
|
Tyler Calanog |
10 |
19:28 |
|
18:48 |
20:13 |
19:17 |
19:29 |
19:21 |
19:21 |
19:21 |
19:43 |
|
|
|
|
Samuel Brown |
12 |
19:28 |
19:16 |
18:55 |
18:59 |
19:12 |
19:31 |
19:31 |
20:16 |
20:16 |
19:34 |
|
|
|
|
Jayden Hwang |
10 |
19:34 |
|
19:22 |
19:21 |
21:07 |
19:57 |
19:27 |
19:31 |
19:31 |
19:39 |
|
|
|
|
Hudson Harsha |
11 |
19:36 |
|
19:20 |
19:33 |
19:25 |
19:43 |
19:31 |
19:57 |
19:57 |
19:33 |
|
|
|
|
Jack Kokoska |
12 |
19:37 |
|
19:21 |
19:46 |
19:37 |
20:24 |
19:43 |
19:26 |
19:26 |
19:09 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
93.7% |
7.8 |
248 |
0.1 |
1.1 |
3.3 |
7.1 |
9.7 |
12.4 |
12.2 |
11.6 |
9.9 |
8.9 |
6.4 |
4.7 |
3.3 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.2 |
103 |
4.6 |
30.9 |
28.4 |
19.4 |
10.4 |
4.7 |
1.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.3 |
66 |
5.1 |
60.6 |
29.9 |
4.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liam Powers |
100% |
6.9 |
4.5 |
6.2 |
7.1 |
7.9 |
8.7 |
8.3 |
8.0 |
8.2 |
7.9 |
6.8 |
5.8 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Isaac Smith |
99.9% |
34.3 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
99.1% |
99.9% |
| Monroe Cluff |
95.2% |
93.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
24.6% |
79.9% |
| Charlie Ritter |
93.7% |
128.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.3% |
45.0% |
| Hayden Hoback |
93.7% |
149.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
25.6% |
| Pj Key |
93.7% |
174.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
7.8% |
| William Henning |
93.7% |
199.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liam Powers |
100% |
1.6 |
35.4 |
26.2 |
29.6 |
6.5 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Isaac Smith |
100% |
7.6 |
|
0.5 |
1.3 |
9.4 |
11.9 |
10.9 |
10.3 |
8.8 |
8.9 |
6.8 |
6.4 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Monroe Cluff |
100% |
23.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Charlie Ritter |
100% |
35.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Hayden Hoback |
100% |
43.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Pj Key |
100% |
54.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| William Henning |
100% |
68.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liam Powers |
1.6 |
35.6 |
26.1 |
31.3 |
5.8 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Isaac Smith |
5.8 |
|
0.5 |
2.0 |
14.9 |
20.5 |
15.3 |
13.1 |
10.6 |
8.0 |
6.4 |
4.2 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Monroe Cluff |
14.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
5.3 |
7.2 |
9.1 |
10.2 |
9.6 |
9.5 |
7.5 |
6.7 |
6.1 |
5.0 |
4.2 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
| Charlie Ritter |
19.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
4.7 |
6.2 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
8.4 |
7.8 |
7.2 |
7.5 |
7.4 |
6.3 |
5.5 |
4.3 |
| Hayden Hoback |
22.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
8.0 |
7.7 |
7.9 |
7.5 |
| Pj Key |
26.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
6.0 |
8.1 |
| William Henning |
31.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
|
